Audience Opinion Piece

Why Most AI Projects Fail—and How to Succeed

By Marcel Schäfer, Senior Program Coordinator, Fraunhofer, USA

Artificial Intelligence (AI) offers tremendous potential across industries, promising increased productivity, efficiency, accuracy, and profitability. Between 2013 and 2022, private-sector investment in AI grew by 18-fold, underscoring its transformative potential. Despite widespread enthusiasm—84% of business leaders expect significant AI impacts—only 14% feel fully prepared to effectively integrate AI into their operations. Alarmingly, more than 80% of AI projects fail. To understand why, organizations must closely examine the core reasons for these failures and take proactive steps to avoid them.

Detailed Analysis of the Root Causes of AI Project Failures

AI projects typically fail for these five main reasons:

1. Incorrect Metrics and Misaligned Workflow:

Many organizations deploy trained AI models optimized for incorrect metrics, or the models do not adequately integrate into the business workflows and overall context. The misalignment between technical objectives and practical business needs results in limited value or outright failure.

2. Insufficient Training Data:

Effective AI solutions depend heavily on adequate data. Many AI projects fail simply because organizations lack sufficient or suitable data necessary to train robust and accurate AI models.

3. Focusing on Technology Instead of Problem-Solving:

Organizations sometimes prioritize using the latest AI technology over addressing practical problems faced by their users. Emphasizing innovation without clear, practical benefits can lead to ineffective solutions.

4. Inadequate Infrastructure:

Proper infrastructure for managing data and deploying completed AI models is essential. Many organizations underestimate the importance and complexity of infrastructure requirements, significantly increasing the risk of project failure.

5. Overly Complex Problems:

AI is not a universal solution to all challenges. Sometimes, the problems targeted by AI projects are inherently too complex or challenging for current technologies, causing projects to fail despite significant efforts.

Practical Steps to Prevent AI Project Failure

Organizations can significantly reduce the risk of failure by following these recommendations, prioritizing neutral external experts who, although initially more costly, can significantly enhance long-term outcomes and reduce overall risk:

  • Rigorous AI Model Testing:
  • Instead of relying solely on internal teams, engage neutral external organizations to validate the accuracy, reliability, and robustness of AI models, ensuring a more objective and thorough evaluation.
  • Ensuring High-Quality Training Data:
  • Leverage neutral external organizations to create or augment realistic synthetic data sets if internal data is insufficient or inadequate, thus ensuring comprehensive coverage of edge cases and robust model performance from day 1.
  • Structured AI Suitability Assessment:
  • Rather than internal evaluations alone, employ neutral external experts to facilitate structured AI readiness workshops, ensuring unbiased identification of genuine business opportunities and potential pitfalls.
  • Regular Expert-Led Status Analyses:
  • Utilize independent external experts regularly for rapid assessments of readiness, infrastructure adequacy, and model performance, ensuring continuous unbiased oversight and objective insights.

The Importance of People and Processes Before Technology

Crucially, successful AI adoption heavily depends on factors unrelated to technology:

  • People First:
  • Ensure organizational alignment, readiness, and willingness to embrace AI. Effective change management is essential for successful AI integration.
  • Processes Second:
  • Optimize existing business processes thoroughly before integrating AI. Adding AI to suboptimal processes will not resolve underlying inefficiencies.
  • Technology Last:
  • Only once people and processes are aligned and optimized should technology solutions be explored and adopted. Confirm clear goals and intended outcomes to ensure technology aligns directly with business needs.

A project’s weakest link—be it people, processes, or technology—will ultimately determine its success or failure.

Real-World Example: Lessons from Failure

Consider the case of a Tier 1 automotive supplier:

  • Scenario:
  • The company had approximately 250 employees, primarily engineers and blue-collar workers. Management was eager to adopt AI for quality inspection to reduce operator headcount by three employees per shift across three shifts, expecting an ROI within two years.
  • What Happened:
  • Shortly after deployment, issues emerged due to insufficient initial training data, causing the AI to make questionable decisions. Fortunately, operators were still involved in the process, preventing defective products from reaching customers. However, multiple line stoppages occurred within the first three weeks. To maintain production schedules, the AI system was eventually sidelined.
  • Outcome and Analysis:
  • This initiative resulted in significant financial losses due to scrap, repairs, and extensive downtime, severely eroding trust in the system. While the organization had proper alignment and good processes, inadequate training data initially resulted in insufficient model robustness. These early failures caused substantial operational disruptions and irreversible mistrust.
  • What Should Have Been Done Instead:
  • The company should have engaged neutral external experts to augment their training dataset by adding artificially generated data specifically designed to cover edge cases identified through robustness testing of their existing training set. This proactive approach would have improved the initial model robustness, significantly reducing early-stage operational disruptions, downtime, and associated losses.

Trust, Control, and Continuous Oversight

Trust in technology is essential, but rigorous, unbiased control measures are vital. Regularly engaging neutral external experts for objective assessments, maintaining continuous oversight, and regularly validating AI models ensures lasting success and reliability.  

Successfully integrating AI requires careful alignment, thorough preparation, robust infrastructure, and realistic expectations. Organizations that proactively manage these critical factors significantly increase their likelihood of successful AI adoption and sustained business improvement.

This is precisely where Fraunhofer USA, as a non-profit and unbiased organization, excels and can truly support your organization, providing reliable long-term success.

Marcel Schäfer

Senior Program Coordinator, Fraunhofer USA

Dr. Marcel Schäfer serves as Senior Research Scientist for the Fraunhofer USA Center Mid-Atlantic CMA in Maryland since January 2019. From 2009 to 2018 he was with Fraunhofer Institute for Secure Information Technologies SIT in Germany. He owns a master’s degree in mathematics from the University of Wuppertal, Germany, and a PhD in computer science from the Technical University of Darmstadt, Germany. As PI, Co-PI and researcher Dr. Schäfer has led and worked in various projects that discover new challenges and opportunities broadly spread over the fields of cybersecurity and software engineering in both the public and private sector.Since March 2021 he is leading the Fraunhofer USA office in South Carolina as Senior Program Coordinator for Fraunhofer USA’s activities within the South Carolina Fraunhofer USA Alliance. Projects so far cover a broad spectrum ranging from smart manufacturing, IoT, Industry 4.0, digitization to predictive maintenance, predictive analytics and other data driven and machine learning featured technologies. Typically, those projects have a strong manufacturing focus.